Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing faces its peak summer heat on 17 July 2026, with the market betting on whether the Jiangbei International Airport station will record temperatures exceeding a specific Celsius threshold. The current 0% implied probability for the highest range suggests traders expect a significant cooldown or cloud cover, contradicting the region’s typical July extremes where highs often breach 35°C.

Historical data from Wunderground shows Chongqing regularly hits 38–40°C in mid-July, with 2022 and 2023 both recording peaks above 39°C at the same station. The stark deviation from this baseline implies either a forecasted weather anomaly or a resolution threshold set far beyond plausible limits, framing the 0% probability as a reaction to extreme outlier expectations rather than typical seasonal variance.

Traders should monitor the latest meteorological bulletins from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time updates on Wunderground for the 17 July forecast, as any sudden shift in cloud cover or rain could invalidate the current pricing. Recent heatwave reports from the Yangtze River basin in early July 2026 highlight the volatility of regional temperatures, making the settlement window’s final hour critical for confirming whether the 0% stance holds or collapses as funding flows adjust to incoming data.

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 17? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.