🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?

Trade "Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

32°C 100% 27°C or below 0% 28°C 0% 29°C 0% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $251K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
32°C100%
27°C or below0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C0%
31°C0%
33°C0%
34°C0%
35°C0%
36°C0%
37°C or higher0%

Market context

Chongqing’s **highest temperature** at the airport station on 4 August will be set by the warmest reading recorded that day, with settlement tied to Wunderground’s daily history page for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. In practical terms, this is a single-day heat event market, so the key question is whether the station logs a peak in the low 30s Celsius or pushes into the much hotter mid- to upper-30s range, which is what usually drives bracket outcomes in summer heat markets.

August is typically the hottest month in Chongqing, with climate guides pointing to average daytime highs around 34°C and frequent very hot days above 40°C, alongside high humidity and regular rainfall. Comparable August summaries for the airport area show forecast highs in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, while some sources still centre the city’s average high nearer 34°C; that gap matters because airport maxima can land above the city average if sunshine and local heating hold through the afternoon[1][6][13][15]. In other words, the crowd-implied 0% YES looks like a pricing artefact rather than a statement that a hot outcome is impossible, especially if the market’s YES side represents a high temperature band.

For traders, the main catalysts are the day’s actual airport observations, cloud cover, and whether rain arrives before the peak heat window. August guidance for Chongqing repeatedly shows a mix of heat and showers, and recent forecasts have kept 4 August around the mid-30s Celsius with patchy rain possible, which can cap the maximum if convection develops early[3][12][14]. On the funding side, markets like this often deepen when deposits are cheap and fast enough to support quick re-risking: Klarna and card on-ramps tend to matter for small, frequent top-ups, while SEPA and USDC rails usually support larger balances and faster redeployment, both of which can tighten spreads around weather releases and intraday temperature moves.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
and

Trade Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4? on Polymarket Klarna UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →