Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing will experience peak summer heat on 11 August 2026, with the highest temperature recorded at Jiangbei International Airport Station determining the settlement outcome. The market resolves using Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than summary figures, a distinction that matters when intraday spikes occur between official recording intervals. Current crowd pricing at 0% YES suggests traders expect temperatures to fall outside the upper range brackets, though Chongqing's August climate typically peaks between 35–39°C.

Historical August data from Chongqing shows consistent patterns: the city has recorded temperatures exceeding 40°C on multiple occasions during peak summer months, with 2013 and 2022 producing particularly extreme readings. The 0% probability across upper ranges reflects either conservative positioning ahead of the settlement window or insufficient liquidity depth to attract hedging activity. Traders depositing via Klarna or SEPA rails into the platform should note that book depth often improves as August approaches, when weather forecasts narrow uncertainty bands and payment friction decreases through established on-ramp flows.

Monitoring China Meteorological Administration forecasts and local Chongqing weather alerts will signal shifting conditions in the fortnight before settlement. The airport station's exposure—located in an urban heat island zone—historically records 1–2°C higher readings than surrounding areas. Withdrawal availability through USDC and regional payment methods remains critical for traders managing positions through the final hours before the 12:00 UTC settlement deadline on 11 August.

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).