Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chengdu’s highest temperature on 13 July 2026 will be recorded at the Shuangliu International Airport Station, with historical July peaks in the city routinely reaching 38–39°C under hot, humid conditions[1][5]. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for any specific range suggests traders view the outcome as either certain within a narrow band or that the market lacks sufficient liquidity to price uncertainty, a pattern often seen when deposit friction—via Klarna, SEPA, or USDC on-ramps—deters new capital from entering the book[2][4].

Historically, July is Chengdu’s hottest month, with daily highs averaging 30–35°C and occasional spikes to 38°C, rarely exceeding 39°C[1][5][6]. Comparable cases from recent summers show that even on passing cloud days, maximum temperatures stay above 29°C, making extreme outliers unlikely; this thermal consistency frames the 0% probability as a reflection of market depth constraints rather than genuine uncertainty about the event itself[3][7].

Traders should monitor the daily Wunderground update for ZUUU at 12:00 UTC on 13 July, which will serve as the official resolution source[1]. Any delay in the data feed or discrepancies between Wunderground and local meteorological reports could trigger settlement ambiguity, while sudden shifts in funding flows—particularly from Klarna-enabled deposits—may signal incoming liquidity that corrects the current pricing distortion[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 13? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.