Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will record its peak temperature for 11 July 2026, with the market resolving to the Celsius range containing that daily high. Historical data confirms July is Chengdu’s hottest month, where highs routinely reach 30–32°C and occasionally spike to 38°C amid muggy conditions[2][4][9]. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for any specific outcome suggests traders are either pricing in extreme uncertainty or awaiting clearer forecast signals, despite the basin geography typically favouring high-30s temperatures during mid-July[10]. Comparable cases from recent years show that while averages hover near 26–28°C, heatwaves can push peaks well above 35°C, making the 0% figure a notable divergence from seasonal norms[5][7].

Traders should monitor the daily Wunderground forecast updates for ZUUU, which serve as the official resolution source, alongside regional meteorological announcements from the Sichuan Meteorological Bureau regarding heatwave warnings[1]. Key catalysts include the timing of the mid-July heat peak, which historically aligns with the middle ten days of July when temperatures peak[7]. Any sudden shifts in humidity or cloud cover could alter the day’s maximum, while the lack of volume in similar markets indicates thin liquidity that may amplify price swings once new data emerges[10]. Deposit friction via Klarna or SEPA rails could further influence book depth, as funding flows often lag behind real-time weather developments until settlement clarity improves.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 11? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.