Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 25?

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Market context

On 25 May 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport will determine the settlement range for this market. Atlanta's late-May climate typically sits in the mid-to-upper 80s Fahrenheit, though heat waves can push readings into the low 90s. The National Weather Service maintains this station as the official observation point for the city, making historical records from Wunderground the definitive source for resolution.

Atlanta's May temperatures have historically ranged from a low of 52°F to a high of 97°F across the month, with the 25th falling near the seasonal midpoint when afternoon highs average around 86°F. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting clearer seasonal forecasts or treating this as a baseline reference market with minimal initial liquidity. Book depth on weather markets typically correlates with deposit availability on the platform—traders holding USDC or recent Klarna top-ups are more likely to establish positions as settlement approaches.

Traders should monitor the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's seasonal outlook releases, typically issued monthly, which flag whether May 2026 is expected to run above or below normal temperatures across the Southeast. Any significant atmospheric pattern shifts—such as early tropical activity or persistent high-pressure systems—announced in the weeks before settlement will shift implied probabilities. Deposit friction through alternative rails like SEPA transfers may limit early participation, but as May approaches and weather models converge, book depth and trading activity should increase materially.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.