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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49% J.D. Vance 43% Marco Rubio 28% Ron DeSantis 3% Volume: $682.4M Liquidity: $55.9M Closes: 7 Nov 2028
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance43%
Marco Rubio28%
Ron DeSantis3%
Donald Trump2%
Tucker Carlson2%
Tulsi Gabbard1%
Glenn Youngkin1%
Donald Trump Jr.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
Greg Abbott1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%
Brian Kemp1%
Byron Donalds1%
Ted Cruz1%
Elon Musk1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Rand Paul1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
Thomas Massie1%
Nikki Haley0%
Elise Stefanik0%
Josh Hawley0%
Matt Gaetz0%
Katie Britt0%
John Thune0%
Kristi Noem0%
Mike Pence0%
Tom Brady0%
Steve Bannon0%
Erika Kirk0%
Kim Kardashian0%
Eric Trump0%
Joe Kent0%
Pete Hegseth0%
Candace Owens0%
Tim Scott0%
Mike Johnson0%
Doug Burgum0%
Tom Cotton0%
John N. Kennedy0%
Rick Scott0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Person AA0%
Person AB0%
Person AC0%
Person AD0%
Person AE0%
Person AF0%
Person AG0%
Person AH0%
Person AI0%
Person AJ0%
Person AK0%
Person AL0%
Person AM0%
Person AN0%
Person AO0%
Person AP0%
Person AQ0%
Person AR0%
Person AS0%
Person AT0%
Person AU0%
Person AV0%
Person AW0%
Person AX0%
Person AY0%
Person AZ0%
Person BA0%
Person BB0%
Person BC0%
Person BD0%
Person BE0%
Person BF0%
Person BG0%
Person BH0%
Person BI0%
Person BJ0%
Person BK0%
Person BL0%
Person BM0%
Person BN0%
Person BO0%
Person BP0%
Person BQ0%
Person BR0%
Person BS0%
Person BT0%
Person BU0%
Person BV0%
Person BW0%
Person BX0%
Person BY0%
Person BZ0%
Person CA0%
Person CB0%
Person CC0%
Person CD0%
Person CE0%
Person CF0%
Person CG0%
Person CH0%
Person CI0%
Person CJ0%
Person CK0%
Person CL0%
Person CM0%
Person CN0%
Person CO0%
Person CP0%
Person CQ0%
Person CR0%
Person CS0%
Person CT0%
Person CU0%
Person CV0%
Person CW0%
Person CX0%
Person CY0%
Person CZ0%
Other0%

Market context

The Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 prediction market currently prices this outcome at 49% YES. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution …

Methodology

This page compares Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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