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Who will Trump meet with in July?

Trade "Who will Trump meet with in July?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Keir Starmer 100% Giorgia Meloni 100% Joseph Aoun 100% Volume: $287K Liquidity: $108K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Who will Trump meet with in July?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Volodymyr Zelenskyy100%
Keir Starmer100%
Giorgia Meloni100%
Joseph Aoun100%
Benjamin Netanyahu58%
Elon Musk14%
Mohammed bin Salman3%
Vladimir Putin1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel1%
Kim Jong Un0%
Xi Jinping0%

Market context

Donald Trump has already had a run of foreign-policy meetings and reported encounter windows this month, including talks with Volodymyr Zelenskiy around the NATO summit and a possible White House meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu, which keeps the July calendar active but still selective.[1][2] He also met Lebanon’s president on 21 July, showing that in-person meetings are continuing even late in the month, but each outcome still depends on travel, protocol, and last-minute scheduling rather than a fixed public roster.[3]

Historically, these markets are best read through the difference between *broad availability* and *named confirmation*. Trump’s travel-heavy foreign-policy schedule can create several plausible meeting paths, yet probability stays low until there is explicit reporting of a specific July encounter, because many proposed visits slip, merge into larger events, or are converted into brief pull-asides rather than formal sit-downs.[1][4] A 0% crowd price usually signals that the book is thin and traders are waiting for a confirmed name rather than pricing every speculative diplomatic contact.

For traders, the main catalysts are official readouts, pool reports, and press-access windows tied to scheduled summits, bilateral visits, or White House arrivals. Reuters has already flagged Trump’s NATO-linked meeting slate and Axios reported that Netanyahu had asked for a White House meeting, so any fresh confirmation, cancellation, or venue change could move this market quickly.[1][2][4] On the funding side, traction in these short-dated political books tends to come from low-friction deposits and fast withdrawals: Klarna on-ramp flow can broaden participation, while SEPA and USDC rails make it easier for European and crypto-native traders to fund and recycle balances, supporting deeper order books when a late-news catalyst lands.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Who will Trump meet with in July? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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Trade Who will Trump meet with in July? on Polymarket Klarna UK

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Related Topics

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