Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Marie Bouzkova defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7–5, 7–5 at the Livesport Prague Open on 20 July 2026, advancing to the round of 16 in a match lasting just over two hours on hard court[1][2]. The result confirms the 100% YES crowd-implied probability that Bouzkova advances, as the match has already concluded with a clear winner.
Historically, prediction markets on completed WTA matches with decisive set scores resolve immediately once official results are published, eliminating uncertainty around cancellations or delays[3]. Comparable cases from recent Prague Open tournaments show that markets with 100% implied probability post-match typically settle within hours of the final whistle, driven by automated verification from WTA data feeds rather than manual adjudication.
Traders should monitor the official WTA Prague Open draw update for Bouzkova’s next opponent, as book depth will shift based on her seeding and the perceived difficulty of the upcoming fixture[5]. While no new announcements are pending for this resolved match, funding flows via Klarna and SEPA on-ramps remain critical for sustaining liquidity in adjacent markets, particularly as USDC withdrawal rails influence trader retention during high-volume tournament weeks.
Methodology
This page compares Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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