Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The ITF Women's Santa Fe tournament will host a match between Canadian prospect Mckenna Schaefbauer and Ukrainian competitor Angelina Voloshchuk on 24 July 2026. Schaefbauer, ranked in the ITF circuit's upper tier, enters as the favoured player based on recent form and ranking differential. Voloshchuk, competing primarily on the ITF Women's circuit, brings experience from Eastern European tournaments. The match was originally scheduled for 3:00 PM ET, with settlement contingent on a decisive result by 31 July 2026.
The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a technical lag in book depth—common in lower-tier tennis markets where deposit friction and withdrawal rails remain underdeveloped. ITF events typically attract smaller trading volumes than ATP or WTA fixtures, partly because payment onramps like Klarna and SEPA transfers take longer to settle for smaller stakes. Markets with shallow liquidity often show extreme probabilities that correct sharply once traders with capital access deposit and rebalance positions.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track official ITF tournament updates and any weather delays affecting the Santa Fe venue, which could trigger the seven-day postponement clause. Court availability and player injury announcements typically emerge 24–48 hours before scheduled play. Early withdrawal via USDC or Klarna refunds remains available until match commencement; delays beyond the settlement window convert the market to 50-50 resolution, making timing of deposit and withdrawal decisions material to position management.
Methodology
This page compares ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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