Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Iliyan Radulov and Johannus Monday are scheduled to meet in a Roehampton qualifier match on 17 August 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The fixture sits within the pre-tournament draw for what is typically a warm-up event ahead of the main summer grass-court circuit. Both players compete primarily on the lower-tier professional tours, making this a qualifier-level encounter rather than a main-draw fixture. The 100% crowd probability reflects either extremely thin liquidity, a data-entry anomaly, or genuine consensus that one player will not appear.
Comparable Roehampton qualifiers from prior years show settlement volatility driven by late withdrawals and schedule compression. Players ranked outside the top 200 frequently pull out days before qualifying rounds due to injury, travel logistics, or strategic tournament selection. The seven-day grace period built into this market's resolution terms acknowledges that grass-court events routinely experience weather delays and rescheduling; matches pushed beyond that window without completion trigger a 50-50 split rather than automatic cancellation.
Traders should monitor entry confirmations and draw sheets released 48–72 hours before the scheduled date. Recent ATP Challenger and ITF circuit reports indicate fixture stability once draws are published, though qualifying draws remain fluid until player confirmations close. Deposit and withdrawal friction via Klarna and SEPA rails may suppress order flow on lower-profile matches; book depth typically thickens only after mainstream news outlets confirm both players' participation. The settlement window closes 24 August, leaving minimal time for dispute resolution if the match is delayed or abandoned mid-play.
Methodology
This page compares Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Monday on Polymarket Klarna UK
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