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National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Fastest route to "National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.5 92% Completed Match 50% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $340K Liquidity: $460K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.592%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.511%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.58%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.57%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner6%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.55%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante4%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Alexei Popyrin’s meeting with Thiago Agustín Tirante at the National Bank Open is a straight win-or-advance market, and the current 52% crowd price suggests a near coin-flip with a slight lean to Popyrin. That is consistent with the absence of any prior head-to-head on record, so traders are leaning more on surface context and recent hard-court results than on matchup history.[3][11][13]

Comparable records point in different directions. Popyrin is the higher-ranked player in the match listing, at ATP No. 139 versus Tirante’s No. 65, but the recent form split is less one-sided than the ranking gap suggests.[13] One stats feed shows Tirante with a stronger 2026 win rate and a better last-12-month win percentage, while another notes Popyrin’s strong Montreal history, including a perfect 8-0 main-draw record at the event.[1][11][17] For market readers, that kind of tension often matters more than headline ranking because books deepen when money can move quickly on a familiar venue edge.

Catalysts are mostly operational: official match order, any draw reshuffle, and whether either player is confirmed to start on schedule. The tournament’s own results page is the cleanest source for live status, while live-score services confirm the fixture and indicate the market has already been paired as a Round 3/third-round contest.[5][6][13] On the funding side, depth tends to improve when deposits are frictionless, so traders watching this market will care about payment rails that clear quickly, especially SEPA, card-on-ramp options such as Klarna, and crypto withdrawal routes like USDC; slower funding or payout rails usually suppresses immediate follow-through, which can keep a market parked near the midpoint even when the sporting case is slightly directional.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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