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Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich

Fastest route to "Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Completed Match 100% Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $133K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich0%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 Winner0%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 2 Winner0%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 21.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 22.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 23.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Francesco Passaro faces Martin Krumich in the Swedish Open qualifying round on clay at Bastad, with the match scheduled to determine who advances to the main tournament. The event takes place today, 13 July 2026, on Court 1 in Sweden, where Passaro’s experience on clay contrasts with Krumich’s developing form in ATP qualifiers [4][1].

Historically, 0% crowd-implied probability in tennis qualifiers often signals a market freeze rather than a definitive outcome, as seen in previous ATP Bastad qualifiers where late withdrawals or weather delays caused temporary liquidity gaps before resolution. Comparable cases show that when funding rails like Klarna or SEPA face on-ramp friction, book depth thins, creating artificial probability distortions that traders must distinguish from genuine player disadvantage [6].

Traders should monitor the official ATP Tour schedule for any delay notices or player status updates, as matches on clay are susceptible to weather interruptions that could push settlement beyond the seven-day window. Recent coverage from SofaScore confirms both players are listed as active for today’s fixture, but any change in status would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match is not completed [1][2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Related Topics

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