National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils

Platform comparison

Market context

Arthur Fils and Mariano Navone are in the National Bank Open draw in Montréal, with the market tied to whether Fils advances over Navone in the scheduled third-round match. The current crowd-implied 0% YES is best read as an extremely thin book rather than a literal no-chance outcome, especially because these player-specific tennis markets can stay illiquid until the match starts and deposits clear.

On form and history, the main benchmark is their only prior meeting: Navone beat Fils 6-4, 6-1 on clay at Prague 3 in 2022[1][9]. That result matters less on hard court, where Fils has generally posted the stronger season record in 2026, at 23-9 versus Navone’s 19-17 in one comparison set[4], and where Fils is listed higher in the rankings for this event[8]. Recent live match data also points to a live edge for Fils in server dominance, with the tournament scoreboard showing him winning 94% of first-serve points against Navone at the time of the update[2].

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: official start status, any rain or court-order reshuffle, and whether the match is actually completed. Tennis markets on these rails can move only when money arrives, so a quiet 0% quote often reflects funding friction as much as opinion; deposits that clear through cards, SEPA, Klarna or USDC can change depth quickly, while withdrawals being slower than entry can suppress follow-through. The settlement rule also matters: if the match is delayed beyond seven days, cancelled, or left unfinished without an advance, the market goes 50-50 rather than resolving to a winner.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).