Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Inaki Montes and Lorenzo Angelini are scheduled to compete in a Cordenons tennis match on 13 July 2026. The event sits within the ATP Challenger circuit's European summer swing, where lower-ranked players accumulate ranking points and prize money. Both competitors operate in the 200–400 ATP ranking band, making this a fixture typical of mid-tier professional tennis where outcomes depend heavily on surface preference, recent form, and head-to-head records rather than seeding advantages.
The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome. Cordenons events attract modest liquidity compared to Grand Slams or Masters 1000 tournaments; most prediction market depth concentrates on higher-profile fixtures. Historical patterns show that Challenger-level matches settle normally when scheduled, with cancellations rare outside weather or injury circumstances. Comparable low-liquidity tennis markets often see probability shifts only after injury announcements or withdrawal notices surface 48–72 hours before play.
Traders should monitor ATP official announcements for withdrawal declarations, which typically arrive via the ATP website or player social media. Surface conditions matter: Cordenons hosts clay courts, favouring baseline grinders over serve-dominant players. Recent form updates, published through ATP rankings and match results databases, will clarify which player enters with momentum. Deposit and withdrawal friction—particularly SEPA settlement timings for European traders and Klarna payment availability—may influence when capital enters this market. Settlement occurs 20 July 2026; delays beyond seven days from the original date trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Methodology
This page compares Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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