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San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino 100% Completed Match 100% San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 Winner 100% San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $183K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino100%
Completed Match100%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 Winner100%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 Winner100%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 21.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 8.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 22.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 9.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 9.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 10.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 23.50%
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Thiago Monteiro and Andrea Pellegrino were scheduled for a San Marino Challenger clay-court match on 30 July, and the market’s 100% YES pricing effectively says the contest has already been treated as a completed route to Monteiro advancing. Pre-match data pointed the other way in some feeds: Pellegrino was higher ranked at ATP 137 to Monteiro’s ATP 303, while Monteiro still held the stronger head-to-head record, 5-1 overall and 5-1 on clay, which is the sort of split that can compress implied pricing when the venue is slow and the sample is small.[1][2][9]

For markets like this, the key frame is not just the tennis, but how quickly traders can fund positions when a draw turns on live scheduling, retirements, or walkovers. On similar Challenger fixtures, pricing has shifted sharply when start times moved or a player’s status changed close to the court call, and that is especially relevant here because the match was listed across several timetable feeds with different local times, while the settlement window still runs to 6 August in case of a no-contest or delayed completion.[1][3][4] In payment terms, depth tends to be strongest when deposits are frictionless and fast settlement rails are available, because traders can react to late line-ups without waiting on card delays; Klarna-style instant funding, SEPA transfers, and USDC withdrawals all matter most when a market is thin and the last few contracts can move the price materially.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Related Topics

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