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National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Completed Match 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $122K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti0%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Nicolás Mejía against Lorenzo Musetti is a first-time ATP meeting at the National Bank Open in Montréal, with Musetti listed far higher in the rankings and on the market lines, which helps explain why the crowd-implied price has sat at 0% YES. Mejía is around the top 130, while Musetti is inside the top 15, and several live event pages show no prior head-to-head between them[1][7][11]. Pre-match books also reflect a wide gap, with one listed moneyline pricing Musetti around -1000 and Mejía around +600[19].

Comparable ATP 1000 draws have tended to reward the established hard-court player when the field includes a lower-ranked entrant making an unusual deep run, but Mejía’s presence at this stage means traders must still price in the binary settlement rules rather than pure tennis strength. Musetti has not faced Mejía before and has been reported as making his first Montréal Masters appearance, while Mejía’s run has already been described as his best at this level[5][14]. For a market with payment on-ramps in focus, that sort of one-sided book usually attracts smaller but faster deposits rather than large repeated top-ups, so depth can be thin until the match start is confirmed.

The main catalysts are schedule certainty, whether the match actually goes ahead on the listed day, and any order-of-play changes that could push it beyond the seven-day window. If play is delayed or suspended without an advance, the market’s 50-50 fallback becomes relevant, so traders should watch tournament updates and live scoring feeds closely[18]. Funding friction also matters here: quick deposits via Klarna, SEPA or USDC can determine whether late money reaches the book before the first ball, which is often when these lopsided tennis markets see their sharpest price movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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Related Topics

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