National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

Platform comparison

Market context

Rafael Jodar’s meeting with Corentin Moutet at the National Bank Open is a second-round ATP hard-court match that has not previously been played head to head, so the market is leaning on rankings, season form and surface results rather than direct history.[2][6][10] Tennis.com listed Jodar as the projected winner at 81% in the same match, which is broadly consistent with the current 73% crowd-implied probability, though Moutet’s higher tour experience and left-handed profile give the underdog side a plausible case if the market is overvaluing Jodar’s recent run.[10][2]

The comparable framing matters because Jodar arrives with a 31-12 2026 record in the data supplied, while Moutet is 8-17, and Jodar’s hard-court results are also stronger across the season.[2] That sort of spread usually attracts quicker retail money when deposits are frictionless and withdrawals are available through familiar rails such as Klarna, SEPA or USDC, because fast on-ramping can widen the book and harden a favourite’s price before play begins. By contrast, thinner funding flow tends to leave a bigger gap between modelled win probability and the market, especially in matches with no prior head-to-head sample.[1][3]

Traders should watch the order of play and any change to the scheduled start, because the market resolves only if one player advances and falls back to 50-50 if the match is not played, tied or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[6] As of the latest listings, the match was still set for 5-6 August in Montreal, but schedule shifts in ATP Masters events are common and can change how much time remains for deposits to clear and positions to be built before the settlement window closes on 13 August.[4][9][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.