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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri

Trade "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $96K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 23.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 Winner0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Viktor Durasovic is scheduled to play Andrea Guerrieri in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger, with live listings showing the match already under way or completed on 5 August and Guerrieri ahead in pre-match pricing. The crowd-implied 0% YES on Durasovic therefore sits well against the market’s wider setup: Guerrieri is the higher-ranked player in the listing data, and bookmakers have had him as a clear favourite, with one board showing Guerrieri around -333 versus Durasovic at +210.[1][2][9][14]

That makes the current price easiest to read as a function of access, not just tennis form. In small Challenger markets, book depth tends to follow how quickly funds can be placed and recycled, so on-ramp friction matters: deposits that clear instantly through card or Klarna-style checkout can tighten the book faster than bank rails, while SEPA can lag and USDC can support faster top-ups and withdrawals for larger or more active traders. Where funding is easier, prices usually move more quickly towards the live score and away from stale pre-match assumptions, which is relevant here because the match sits in a narrow-round format where one early break can dominate settlement expectations.[11][16][17]

For traders, the key catalysts are the official order of play, any court or time change, and whether the match finishes cleanly before the 7-day settlement trigger. Independent live feeds placed the meeting on Court 12 with start times around 09:00-09:30 local, and the live score pages show the contest tied early in the first set, so any interruption, retirement, or abandonment would matter more than pre-match narrative. If the result is not determined inside the window, the contract falls back to 50-50 under the rules, which makes schedule certainty and completion status the main drivers of value.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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