Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri | 0% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Viktor Durasovic is scheduled to play Andrea Guerrieri in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger, with live listings showing the match already under way or completed on 5 August and Guerrieri ahead in pre-match pricing. The crowd-implied 0% YES on Durasovic therefore sits well against the market’s wider setup: Guerrieri is the higher-ranked player in the listing data, and bookmakers have had him as a clear favourite, with one board showing Guerrieri around -333 versus Durasovic at +210.[1][2][9][14]
That makes the current price easiest to read as a function of access, not just tennis form. In small Challenger markets, book depth tends to follow how quickly funds can be placed and recycled, so on-ramp friction matters: deposits that clear instantly through card or Klarna-style checkout can tighten the book faster than bank rails, while SEPA can lag and USDC can support faster top-ups and withdrawals for larger or more active traders. Where funding is easier, prices usually move more quickly towards the live score and away from stale pre-match assumptions, which is relevant here because the match sits in a narrow-round format where one early break can dominate settlement expectations.[11][16][17]
For traders, the key catalysts are the official order of play, any court or time change, and whether the match finishes cleanly before the 7-day settlement trigger. Independent live feeds placed the meeting on Court 12 with start times around 09:00-09:30 local, and the live score pages show the contest tied early in the first set, so any interruption, retirement, or abandonment would matter more than pre-match narrative. If the result is not determined inside the window, the contract falls back to 50-50 under the rules, which makes schedule certainty and completion status the main drivers of value.
Methodology
This page compares Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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