Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Radu Albot, the Moldovan left-hander ranked outside the ATP top 100, faces Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine in an early-round encounter at Roehampton scheduled for 18 August 2026. The match forms part of the ATP 250 warm-up circuit preceding the US Open season. Albot has competed sporadically on the professional tour in recent years, whilst Bittoun Kouzmine, a French-Israeli player, operates primarily on the Challenger circuit. The 100% crowd probability reflects either strong conviction in Albot's superiority or thin liquidity at market inception; such extreme readings often compress as deposit flows stabilise and traders gain confidence in withdrawal rails.
Historical ATP Challenger and qualifying-round matchups between players of this ranking tier show settlement volatility driven by late withdrawals and injury scratches rather than competitive uncertainty. When one player carries significantly higher ranking points or recent match fitness, markets typically reflect that gap within 10–15 percentage points. The current 100% reading suggests either Bittoun Kouzmine's withdrawal has already been signalled informally, or initial backers of Albot faced minimal counterparty interest—a common pattern when SEPA and Klarna deposit friction delays retail participation.
Traders should monitor official ATP entry lists and injury bulletins through late July. Roehampton's scheduling can shift due to weather or court availability, and any delay beyond 7 August triggers the market's tie-resolution clause. Withdrawal confirmations typically arrive 48–72 hours before match time. Book depth will likely increase once payment friction eases and traders can execute larger positions via USDC settlement or faster SEPA rails.
Methodology
This page compares Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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