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World Cup: Player to score

Trade "World Cup: Player to score" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Julián Álvarez 100% Lionel Messi 100% João Neves 100% Jude Bellingham 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $82K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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World Cup: Player to score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Álvarez100%
Lionel Messi100%
João Neves100%
Jude Bellingham100%
Luis Díaz100%
Lautaro Martínez100%
Virgil van Dijk100%
Jamal Musiala100%
Nuno Mendes100%
Kevin De Bruyne100%
Désiré Doué100%
Cristiano Ronaldo100%
Ousmane Dembélé100%
Enzo Fernández100%
Mohamed Salah100%
Cody Gakpo100%
Ismaïla Sarr100%
Rafael Leão100%
Alexis Mac Allister100%
Gabriel Martinelli100%
Viktor Gyökeres100%
Arda Güler100%
Fabián Ruiz100%
Casemiro100%
Mikel Merino100%
Raúl Jiménez100%
Gonçalo Ramos100%
Mikel Oyarzabal100%
Lisandro Martínez100%
Bradley Barcola100%
Alexander Isak100%
Dan Ndoye100%
Granit Xhaka100%
Breel Embolo100%
Matheus Cunha100%
Wilson Isidor100%
Folarin Balogun100%
Julio Enciso100%
Kai Havertz100%
Leroy Sané100%
Amad Diallo100%
Nicolas Pépé100%
Keito Nakamura100%
Anthony Elanga100%
Charles De Ketelaere100%
Romelu Lukaku100%
Leandro Trossard100%
Iliman Ndiaye100%
Marcel Sabitzer100%
Yoane Wissa100%
Marcus Rashford100%
Ivan Perišić100%
Neymar Jr.100%
Dário Leite48%
Bukayo Saka21%
Dani Olmo21%
Michael Olise19%
Eberechi Eze17%
Ferran Torres14%
Declan Rice13%
Nico Williams11%
Rodri9%
Rayan Cherki9%
Reece James8%
Pedri7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Marc Guéhi6%
Marcus Thuram6%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Gavi4%
Pau Cubarsí3%
N'Golo Kanté2%
Jules Koundé2%
Martin Zubimendi1%
Ibrahima Konaté1%
Federico Valverde0%
Bruno Fernandes0%
Raphinha0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Florian Wirtz0%
Antoine Semenyo0%
Joshua Kimmich0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Cole Palmer0%
Luka Modrić0%
Denzel Dumfries0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Tijjani Reijnders0%
Rúben Dias0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Frenkie de Jong0%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
Vitinha0%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia0%
Robert Lewandowski0%
David Raya0%
Sadio Mané0%
Martin Ødegaard0%
William Pacho0%
Scott McTominay0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Fermín López0%
Joško Gvardiol0%
Marquinhos0%
William Saliba0%
João Pedro0%
Weston McKennie0%
João Cancelo0%
Christian Pulisic0%
Son Heung-min0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Kenan Yıldız0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Phil Foden0%
Kim Min-jae0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Noah Okafor0%
Abdulaziz Hatem0%
Ahmed Fathi0%
Igor Thiago0%
Endrick0%
Brahim Díaz0%
Josué Casimir0%
Che Adams0%
Ricardo Pepi0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu0%
Nick Woltemade0%
Lennart Kahl0%
Tahith Chong0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Teun Koopmeiners0%
Memphis Depay0%
Donyell Malen0%
Takefusa Kubo0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Haissem Hassan0%
Chris Wood0%
Alexander Sørloth0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Pedro Neto0%
Luis Suárez0%
James Rodríguez0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Iñaki Williams0%
Ismael Díaz0%
Luis Javier Suárez0%
Darwin Nunez0%

Market context

The World Cup: Player to score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular t…

Methodology

This page compares World Cup: Player to score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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