Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 | 98% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 98% |
| New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury | 77% |
| O/U 174.5 | 59% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| O/U 176.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
Market context
The New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market currently prices this outcome at 98% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 1 at 3:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoe…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $344K.
Methodology
This page compares New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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Trade New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury on Polymarket Klarna UK
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