Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 170.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 169.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Dallas Wings and Chicago Sky have already played the scheduled WNBA meeting in Chicago, with Dallas winning 99-89. Because the market is priced at 100% for Dallas, the only practical question for settlement is whether the result stands as completed or is later displaced by an official league ruling. In normal WNBA grading, a final score posted by the league and major box-score services is sufficient, and comparable markets tend to lock once the result is confirmed rather than when the tip-off time passes.
For traders, the main watchpoints are not on-court now but operational: any league statement on a protest, statistical correction, or schedule change, plus whether the contest is retained as a completed fixture in official records. Recent box scores and game reports from ESPN, FOX Sports and theScore all show Dallas 99-89 Chicago, which supports immediate settlement unless there is an administrative reversal. That matters for markets sensitive to payment rails, where faster deposits and withdrawals through Klarna, SEPA or USDC can increase late liquidity and sharpen pricing around near-certain outcomes; when funding frictions are low, book depth tends to build more quickly once a result is effectively known.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →