Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 162.5 | 53% |
| O/U 163.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Brittney Griner: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 164.5 | 47% |
| Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury | 38% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Points O/U 8.5 | 33% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Diamond Miller: Points O/U 8.5 | 32% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Brittney Griner: Points O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
Market context
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury — current market-implied probability: 53%. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoeni…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.
Methodology
This page compares Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Trade Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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