Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 178.5 | 51% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 179.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 180.5 | 46% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.5 | 29% |
| Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty | 28% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 65% YES probability for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liber…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.
Methodology
This page compares Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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