Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Netherlands | 100% |
| Algeria | 0% |
| Argentina | 0% |
| Australia | 0% |
| Austria | 0% |
| Belgium | 0% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0% |
| Brazil | 0% |
| Canada | 0% |
| Cape Verde | 0% |
| Colombia | 0% |
| Croatia | 0% |
| Curaçao | 0% |
| Czechia | 0% |
| DR Congo | 0% |
| Ecuador | 0% |
| Egypt | 0% |
| England | 0% |
| France | 0% |
| Germany | 0% |
| Ghana | 0% |
| Haiti | 0% |
| Iran | 0% |
| Iraq | 0% |
| Ivory Coast | 0% |
| Japan | 0% |
| Jordan | 0% |
| Mexico | 0% |
| Morocco | 0% |
| New Zealand | 0% |
| Norway | 0% |
| Panama | 0% |
| Paraguay | 0% |
| Portugal | 0% |
| Qatar | 0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% |
| Scotland | 0% |
| Senegal | 0% |
| South Africa | 0% |
| South Korea | 0% |
| Spain | 0% |
| Sweden | 0% |
| Switzerland | 0% |
| Tunisia | 0% |
| Türkiye | 0% |
| United States | 0% |
| Uruguay | 0% |
| Uzbekistan | 0% |
| Team A | 0% |
| Team B | 0% |
| Team C | 0% |
| Team D | 0% |
| Team E | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to world cup: fair play award winner. This market will resolve to the nation who wins the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA…
Methodology
This page compares World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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