Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Hellas Verona will host AS Roma in a Serie A fixture on 24 May 2026, with settlement tied to the final whistle result. The 10% implied probability reflects Roma's stronger league position and recent form, though Verona's home advantage at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi carries non-trivial weight in Italian football. Roma's squad depth and European commitments earlier in the season typically favour the visiting side in May fixtures, yet Verona's defensive record at home has historically made them competitive against larger clubs.

Comparable matchups from the 2024–25 season show Verona winning roughly 12–15% of games against top-six sides at home, a baseline that aligns with current market pricing. Roma's injury status and rotation decisions in the final weeks of the campaign will be critical; the club's medical bulletins typically emerge 48–72 hours before kickoff. Fixture congestion—Roma may have European or Coppa Italia commitments in the preceding week—could shift squad availability sharply. Monitor official team news from both clubs' websites and Gazzetta dello Sport for squad announcements.

Liquidity on this market depends partly on deposit friction across payment rails. Traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna's deferred payment option will see settlement funds returned via the same method, reducing withdrawal delays. USDC deposits bypass traditional banking timelines entirely, though conversion fees apply. Book depth typically strengthens 72 hours before kickoff as traders lock in positions ahead of team news, making that window the optimal entry point for larger stakes.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.