Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
2% | 98% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
2% | 98% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Atalanta BC (-2.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 86% YES | 14% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ACF Fiorentina (-1.5) | 21% YES | 79% NO |
Market context
Fiorentina host Atalanta in a Serie A match with the market on “more markets” currently pricing the yes side at 9%, which implies this has been treated as a fairly narrow, low-activity contract. In comparable football markets, the lower-priced outcomes usually draw interest when the match is well covered by major leagues and settlement is simple; here, demand is more likely to be shaped by how easily traders can fund accounts and exit positions rather than by the football alone. Klarna-linked card and instant bank rails tend to support smaller, faster entries, while SEPA and USDC users often bring larger balances but slower, more deliberate order flow. That mix can leave the book thin even when the underlying fixture is heavily discussed.
The main read-through is that the probability should be judged against payment friction and event timing as much as match quality. Recent previews have leaned towards a tight game, with Atalanta slightly stronger on season-long numbers and markets elsewhere showing a modest edge to the away side, alongside a live draw. If traders expect more volume after wage-day or after deposits clear, the yes price can firm quickly; if settlement risk is low and withdrawal rails are reliable, some funds may sit longer in the market and deepen the book. The relevant catalyst is the Friday night build-up and any late team news before the 9:00 AM ET Sunday start, plus whether support for faster funding methods translates into fresh liquidity before the 2026-05-24 settlement window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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