Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Washington Spirit | 100% |
| Boston Legacy FC | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
The NWSL match between Boston Legacy FC and Washington Spirit, scheduled for Sunday 19 July 2026, has already concluded with Washington securing a 2–1 away victory in Pawtucket, Rhode Island. This result propelled the Spirit to the top of the NWSL table, while Boston’s lone goal came late in the 88th minute from Smith, after Rudd and Rodman had established a two-goal lead for Washington in the first half [1][6].
Historically, prediction markets on completed fixtures settle at 0% or 100% once the outcome is confirmed, rendering the current 0% YES probability for a Boston win consistent with the final score. Comparable cases in sports prediction markets show that when a game ends before the settlement window closes, liquidity evaporates rapidly as traders recognise the event is resolved, leaving only minimal depth driven by residual on-ramp friction rather than genuine uncertainty [1].
Traders should monitor any post-match announcements regarding league sanctions, player injuries, or VAR reviews that could theoretically alter the official result, though none have been reported as of 20 July. The settlement window ending 23:00 UTC on 19 July has already passed, meaning the market is effectively closed for new positions; funding flows now reflect withdrawal rails like Klarna and SEPA rather than deposit activity, as users seek to exit rather than enter [2][6].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $51K.
Methodology
This page compares Boston Legacy FC vs. Washington Spirit with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Boston Legacy FC vs. Washington Spirit on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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