Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.6M
- 24h volume
- $1.6M
- Open interest
- $1.2M
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (7)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The Vegas Golden Knights face the Anaheim Ducks on 14 May at 9:30 PM ET in what appears to be a playoff fixture. The market's 100% implied probability suggests either exceptionally strong conviction in a Golden Knights victory or minimal liquidity depth, which typically correlates with restricted deposit access or elevated withdrawal friction on the underlying platform. Markets showing such extreme probabilities often reflect thin order books rather than genuine certainty; traders seeking to move meaningful capital into such positions frequently encounter slippage or deposit delays that discourage participation.
Historical NHL playoff matchups between these franchises show competitive variance. The Golden Knights' 2023–24 regular season performance and playoff seeding will determine their matchup positioning, whilst the Ducks' roster composition and recent form shape realistic win probabilities. Comparable playoff markets on prediction platforms rarely sustain 100% readings unless one team is mathematically eliminated or the event has already concluded; such extremes typically indicate either settlement imminent or a liquidity desert where only small positions can execute without material price movement.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster announcements, injury reports and official NHL scheduling confirmations through 13 May. Withdrawal rails—whether SEPA transfers, Klarna settlements or USDC on-chain redemptions—become critical if the market tightens closer to kick-off and traders attempt to hedge or exit positions. Postponement risk, whilst low in May playoffs, would extend the settlement window and lock capital until completion, making deposit-to-withdrawal friction a material consideration for position sizing.
Wikipedia Context
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Golden Knights (chess)
The Golden Knights is the United States open correspondence chess championship. It is held annually by the United States Chess Federation (USCF), and is open to all members of the USCF residing in the United States or who have an APO or FPO address. It was first held in 1943 under the name Victory Tournament, the next year it was called the Postal Chess Cham
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Knights PlazaKnights Plaza at University of Central Florida, commonly referred to as Knights Plaza, is an athletic village and shopping center on the main campus of the University of Central Florida in Orlando, Florida, United States. The plaza consists of housing for more than 2,000 students in four towers, 183,000 square feet (17,000 m2) of commercial space, the 10,000
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Golden nightjarThe golden nightjar is a species of nightjar in the family Caprimulgidae. It is found in Sahel region in northern Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Golden Knight GaroGolden Knight Garo is a PlayStation 2 video game based on the tokusatsu TV show Garo. It was published by Bandai and released in Japan on April 20, 2006.
Methodology
This page compares Golden Knights vs. Ducks with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Golden Knights vs. Ducks on PolyGram
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