Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 97% |
| George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown | 94% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 93% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 93% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 92% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 92% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 92% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| Christian McCaffrey: 2+ Touchdowns | 92% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| George Kittle: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers) | 88% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 86% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 85% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 85% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 82% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 76% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 76% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 76% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 76% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 76% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 69% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 63% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 63% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 63% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 63% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 59% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 52% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 51% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 51% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 51% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 51% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| George Kittle: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Mike Evans: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaelon Black: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers) | 50% |
| Chig Okonkwo: Team First TD (Washington Commanders) | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels: Team First TD (Washington Commanders) | 50% |
| Kaelon Black: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers) | 50% |
| Mike Evans: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers) | 50% |
| Rachaad White: Team First TD (Washington Commanders) | 50% |
| Terry McLaurin: Team First TD (Washington Commanders) | 50% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers) | 45% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Team First TD (Washington Commanders) | 44% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 33% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 32% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 31% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 26% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 20% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 19% |
| Chig Okonkwo: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 18% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 15% |
| Jayden Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 14% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 14% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| George Kittle: 2+ Touchdowns | 14% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 13% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Kaelon Black: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 12% |
| Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 11% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| George Kittle: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 11% |
| Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Rachaad White: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 9% |
| Brock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Jayden Daniels: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Mike Evans: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 8% |
| Terry McLaurin: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Chig Okonkwo: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| Terry McLaurin: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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