Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| New York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC | 39% |
| New York City FC 2 - 1 Toronto FC | 26% |
| New York City FC 2 - 2 Toronto FC | 15% |
| New York City FC 1 - 3 Toronto FC | 10% |
| New York City FC 3 - 3 Toronto FC | 10% |
| New York City FC 2 - 3 Toronto FC | 9% |
| New York City FC 3 - 2 Toronto FC | 9% |
| New York City FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC | 7% |
| New York City FC 1 - 2 Toronto FC | 5% |
| New York City FC 0 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 1 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 1 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 50% chance of new york city fc vs. toronto fc - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLS game between New York City FC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New York City …
Methodology
This page compares New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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