Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami CF will face Philadelphia Union in an MLS regular-season fixture on 24 May 2026. The 60% implied probability reflects Miami's stronger recent form and home advantage at DRV PNK Stadium, though the Union remain competitive in the Eastern Conference. Settlement occurs at full-time whistle, with no extra-time or penalty scenarios affecting the outcome.

Historical matchups between these sides show competitive balance. Miami's 2024–25 season trajectory—bolstered by their Concacaf Champions Cup run and roster continuity—contrasts with Philadelphia's rebuilding phase following mid-season departures. When comparing similar MLS fixtures with equivalent pre-match odds, home teams priced at 55–65% typically convert at rates between 52–58%, suggesting the current probability sits within normal variance rather than reflecting exceptional edge.

Traders should monitor team news through late May: Miami's injury status in midfield (particularly around Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba availability) and Philadelphia's defensive depth will shape tactical approach. MLS fixture congestion—both sides may play midweek matches before Sunday—affects rotation decisions. The settlement window closes at 23:00 GMT on match day, allowing deposits via Klarna, SEPA transfers, and USDC stablecoin throughout the week. Liquidity typically deepens 48 hours before kickoff as casual depositors enter the market; withdrawal rails remain open post-settlement, with SEPA processing completing within two business days for UK-based traders.

Methodology

This page reviews Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.