Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.5M
- 24h volume
- $1.4M
- Open interest
- $475K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (10)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The San Francisco Giants travel to Los Angeles for an evening fixture against the Dodgers on 14 May, with first pitch at 10:10 PM ET. This National League West matchup carries standard MLB settlement terms: the market resolves to the winning team's name, with postponement extending the window until completion and cancellation or ties triggering 50-50 resolution. The settlement deadline of 22 May allows a week beyond the scheduled date for weather delays or makeup games.
The 0% implied probability on Giants victory reflects the Dodgers' structural advantages in recent seasons. Los Angeles has won the division in five of the past six years and maintains superior payroll depth. However, historical Giants-Dodgers matchups show volatility; the teams split their seasons roughly evenly despite the Dodgers' overall dominance, and individual games frequently contradict season-long records. Comparable division rivals trading at extreme probabilities often see modest movement once injury reports and weather forecasts crystallise in the 48 hours before first pitch.
Traders should monitor pitching assignments, which typically confirm 3–5 days prior. Recent roster moves, particularly any Giants acquisitions or Dodgers injuries, will influence opening odds. Weather conditions at Dodger Stadium in mid-May rarely force postponement but can affect ball carry. Deposit and withdrawal friction—whether traders use SEPA transfers, Klarna instalments, or USDC on-chain settlement—may influence position sizing for those managing cash flow across the settlement window. Book depth typically increases as game day approaches, with the tightest spreads appearing in the 24 hours before first pitch.
Wikipedia Context
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San Francisco GiantsThe San Francisco Giants are an American professional baseball team based in San Francisco. The Giants compete in Major League Baseball (MLB) as a member club of the National League (NL) West Division. Founded in 1883 as the New York Gothams, the team was renamed the New York Giants three years later, eventually relocating from New York City to San Francisco
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Dodgers–Giants rivalryThe Dodgers–Giants rivalry is regarded as one of the fiercest and longest-standing rivalries in American baseball, with some observers considering it the greatest sports rivalry of all time. It dates back to the late 19th century, when both clubs were based in New York City.
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List of San Francisco Giants seasonsThe San Francisco Giants are a professional baseball team based in San Francisco, California. They have been a member of the National League (NL), as a part of Major League Baseball, since the team's inception in 1883. They joined the NL West following the establishment of divisions within the league in 1969. The Giants played 75 seasons in New York City, Ne
Methodology
This page compares San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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