Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
41% | 59% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
41% | 59% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| NRFI | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 8.5 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% YES | 79% NO |
Market context
The Pirates visit the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre, with the market currently pricing Pittsburgh at 41% to win. Toronto are the shorter side on record and recent head-to-head form: the Blue Jays have taken seven of the last ten meetings with Pittsburgh, while last season’s comparable matchup saw the Pirates win 5-2 in Toronto behind Paul Skenes. That kind of split is typical of a mid-priced MLB away favourite setup, where the quote often reflects both team strength and the uncertainty of line-ups, bullpen usage and travel.
For traders, the sharper angle is how money gets into the market rather than the baseball alone. Book depth tends to improve when deposits are easy and settlement rails are familiar, so any uptick in Klarna usage, SEPA transfers or USDC inflows can matter at the margin, especially into weekend fixtures when participation is broader. The main dependencies to watch are confirmed starters, any late scratching news, and whether the game stays on the scheduled Sunday slot at 12:15 pm local time; ESPN lists the fixture for 24 May at Rogers Centre, with Peacock coverage, which usually means the market can remain active right up to first pitch if the line-up news moves.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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