LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

DN SOOPers, a relatively new LCK franchise, face Dplus KIA in a best-of-three match scheduled for 13 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects the substantial gap in competitive pedigree: Dplus KIA are a historically established organisation with multiple LCK playoff appearances and international tournament experience, whilst DN SOOPers entered the league in 2023 as an expansion side. The matchup sits within the LCK's early-season rounds, where roster stability and scrim performance often diverge from regular-season outcomes. Historical precedent suggests new franchises rarely upset established competitors in round-robin play, though upsets do occur at rates between 15–25% when rosters have undergone significant changes or when established teams field experimental lineups.

Traders monitoring this market should track roster announcements and injury reports through the LCK's official schedule updates, typically published 48 hours before matches. Dplus KIA's mid-season form and whether they field their primary five-stack will be critical; any substitutions or reported internal issues could narrow the gap. Settlement hinges on match completion by 20 May—delays beyond that window trigger a 50-50 resolution. The liquidity profile on this market likely reflects deposit friction across regional payment rails; traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna may face settlement delays that compress the effective trading window, whilst USDC on-ramp users retain more flexibility to adjust positions closer to kickoff.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.