LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

HANJIN BRION face DN SOOPers in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match scheduled for 15 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The fixture falls within the opening rounds of the LCK season, where teams establish early momentum and roster cohesion. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong pre-match consensus or minimal liquidity depth on the book, a common pattern in regional esports markets where deposit friction and withdrawal rails constrain retail participation. Access barriers—deposit fees via Klarna, SEPA transfer delays, or USDC on-ramp costs—typically suppress trading volume in lower-tier regional fixtures, concentrating positions among institutional or high-conviction players.

Historical LCK match outcomes in early-season rounds show volatility despite favourites, particularly when rosters feature roster changes or newly promoted squads. DN SOOPers' recent competitive history and HANJIN BRION's pre-season form remain the primary determinants; however, the absence of substantial counter-liquidity suggests limited information asymmetry has been priced in. Traders should monitor official LCK schedule confirmations, any last-minute roster substitutions, or technical delays that could trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause if play extends beyond seven days post-scheduled date.

The settlement window closes 15 May at 16:15 UTC, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Withdrawal friction via slower rails (SEPA versus USDC) may delay profit realisation, a consideration for traders managing cash-flow timing around this fixture.

Methodology

We track LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.