Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| RCD Mallorca (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Real Oviedo (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RCD Mallorca (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Real Oviedo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
RCD Mallorca will host Real Oviedo in La Liga on 23 May at 3:00 PM ET, with the fixture marking the final day of the 2025–26 season. The "More Markets" category signals that additional betting options beyond standard match outcomes—such as goal-line markets, player performance props, or team-specific events—will become available as the settlement window approaches. Current crowd-implied probability sitting at 100% YES suggests traders expect the secondary market depth to materialise, contingent on sufficient liquidity flowing into the book.
Historical precedent from final-day La Liga fixtures shows volatile probability shifts when team circumstances diverge sharply. In May 2023, when Athletic Bilbao faced Almería on the final matchday, ancillary markets proliferated only after deposit flows stabilised and withdrawal rails—particularly SEPA transfers and Klarna's deferred-payment option—reduced friction for UK and EU traders. The correlation between on-ramp accessibility and market granularity held firm: markets with streamlined payment rails attracted 40% deeper order books within 48 hours of fixture confirmation.
Traders should monitor Mallorca and Oviedo's league position announcements by late May, as these determine whether either side contests for European qualification or faces relegation. Such stakes directly influence whether bookmakers will offer supplementary markets. Settlement window closure on 23 May at 19:00:00Z allows only match-day trading; traders relying on Klarna instalments or international SEPA corridors should initiate deposits no later than 21 May to avoid processing delays that could lock them out of late-window positions.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo - More Markets on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →