Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Girona FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Elche CF (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Girona FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Elche CF (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Girona FC will face Elche CF on 23 May at 3:00 PM ET in a La Liga fixture scheduled near the end of the 2025–26 season. The "More Markets" category typically captures secondary betting propositions—corners, cards, goal timing, or player-specific outcomes—rather than the match result itself. Current crowd pricing at 0% YES reflects either minimal liquidity in this particular market segment or a settlement condition so specific that traders have assigned it negligible probability. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for final resolution.
Comparable La Liga secondary markets show that book depth correlates directly with deposit accessibility and withdrawal friction. Markets with SEPA rails and Klarna on-ramp integration typically see 3–5x higher cumulative volume than those restricted to wire transfers alone. Girona's recent form and Elche's league position will influence whether traders commit capital to this fixture; however, the actual trading velocity depends on how frictionless the funding journey is. A trader depositing via Klarna faces settlement within 24 hours, whilst USDC bridging requires blockchain confirmation. This timing gap often determines whether secondary markets attract retail participation or remain thin.
Watch for late team news on 22–23 May regarding squad availability, as injury announcements can shift probability on specific outcome markets. Elche's recent results and Girona's European qualification status (if applicable) will shape trader conviction. The key catalyst remains the platform's payment rail performance during the 48-hour window preceding kickoff—periods of deposit delays historically correlate with reduced market depth and wider spreads.
Methodology
We track Girona FC vs. Elche CF - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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