Market statistics
- Total volume
- $614K
- 24h volume
- $582K
- Open interest
- $332K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The Coppa Italia final is scheduled for Wednesday, 13 May 2026, pitting SS Lazio against FC Internazionale Milano. This is the Italian cup's showpiece match, typically held at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity on this market, a pattern common for events more than eighteen months away where liquidity concentrates on nearer-term fixtures and league outcomes instead.
Historical Coppa Italia finals show volatile odds compression as match day approaches. When comparable knockout finals have traded at extreme probabilities early in their settlement windows—particularly those with thin order books—subsequent price discovery has often been dramatic once deposit flows increase and traders gain clearer team news. The current absence of meaningful volume suggests the market lacks sufficient on-ramp friction relief; traders requiring SEPA transfers, Klarna deposits, or USDC settlement rails may be deferring positions until nearer the event, when conviction and liquidity align.
Catalysts to monitor include both teams' Serie A form through late 2025 and early 2026, injury announcements in the weeks before the final, and any fixture congestion affecting squad rotation. Inter's European commitments and Lazio's domestic cup run will shape squad availability. Book depth typically expands sharply in the final fortnight as settlement approaches and deposit rails process incoming capital. Early traders should expect significant repricing once institutional and retail flows activate around late April 2026.
Wikipedia Context
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SS LazioSocietà Sportiva Lazio is an Italian professional sports club based in Rome, most known for its football activity. The society, founded in 1900, plays in the Serie A and have spent most of their history in the top tier of Italian football. Lazio were Italian champions in 1974 and 2000. They have won the Coppa Italia seven times, the Supercoppa Italiana five
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SS Lazio supportersThe SS Lazio fans, known in Italian as the tifoseria laziale or simply laziali, are supporters (tifosi) of Italian football club Lazio, with headquarters in Rome.
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SS Lazio in European football
These are the matches that Lazio have played in European football competitions. In UEFA European football, Lazio have won the 1998–99 UEFA Cup Winners' Cup and the 1999 UEFA Super Cup.
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SS Lazio Women 2015Società Sportiva Lazio Women 2015 a r.l. is an Italian women's football team based in Rome. They currently play in Serie A Femminile.
Methodology
This page compares SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.legaseriea.it/en/coppa-italia. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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