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New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 98% Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 98% New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury 77% O/U 174.5 59% Volume: $344K Liquidity: $139K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.598%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.598%
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury77%
O/U 174.559%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.557%
Spread -2.551%
O/U 175.551%
O/U 176.551%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.551%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.551%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.551%
DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.551%
DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 5.551%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.550%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.550%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.550%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.550%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 2.550%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.538%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.522%

Market context

New York Liberty are playing Phoenix Mercury in a regular-season WNBA game scheduled for 1 August at 3:00pm ET. The market’s 77% crowd-implied YES level fits a fixture where the Liberty have already beaten Phoenix twice this season, including an 84-74 win on 27 May and a 75-68 win in late May, while Phoenix took an earlier meeting last year 106-91.[1][9][10][12]

Comparable head-to-head results point to a Liberty edge, but not a runaway one: the teams have split their broader recent series almost evenly, and the Liberty’s own form has been uneven, with a 16-13 record and a 4-6 run across their last 10 entering the game.[12][13][14] That matters in a market where book depth is often driven less by team name recognition than by how easily traders can fund positions; if deposits are simple, fees are low and withdrawals are quick via rails such as Klarna, SEPA or USDC, more casual flow can sit alongside sharper money and keep a favourite priced near the high-70s rather than drifting lower.[12]

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-up, any late injury or rest news, and whether the game starts on time, since postponement keeps the market open until completion and cancellation would force a 50-50 resolution. ESPN’s pregame listing shows the matchup on schedule and notes the Liberty have gone 8-8 on the road while Phoenix entered at 5-9 at home, so any late schedule change or roster update is more relevant here than broader standings alone.[8][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 at 98% for "New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury".

Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 98% Other 2%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $344K.

Methodology

This page compares New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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Trade New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury on Polymarket Klarna UK

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Related Topics

Sports