Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 181.5 | 100% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 182.5 | 100% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 183.5 | 100% |
| O/U 180.5 | 100% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Las Vegas Aces defeated the Toronto Tempo 109–83 in their WNBA matchup on Monday night, 20 July 2026, with A’ja Wilson scoring 26 points and Jackie Young adding a season-high 24 points alongside 12 assists [1]. This result confirms the Aces as the clear victors, aligning with the market’s 100% YES probability for an Aces win, which now resolves definitively to “Las Vegas Aces” per the settlement rules.
Historically, WNBA games featuring top-tier teams like the Aces, who hold an 18–7 record and a dominant 11–2 away form, rarely produce upset outcomes when facing mid-table opponents like the Tempo [2]. Comparable fixtures in recent seasons show similar one-sided scorelines when the Aces’ star players are fully active, reinforcing why the crowd-implied probability reached certainty before the game concluded.
Traders should monitor official WNBA post-game confirmations and any potential overtime declarations, though the final score already includes all periods [1]. With the settlement window closing on 21 July 2026, the outcome is now fixed, meaning funding flows via Klarna, SEPA, or USDC on-ramps will no longer influence book depth for this resolved market. The traction seen earlier stemmed directly from these deposit rails enabling rapid position sizing before the result became certain.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $228K.
Methodology
This page compares Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo on Polymarket Klarna UK
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