Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 156.5 | 28% |
| O/U 157.5 | 27% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5 | 22% |
| O/U 155.5 | 11% |
| O/U 154.5 | 11% |
| O/U 158.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 6 at 7:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.
Methodology
This page compares Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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