Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BBB (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BBB (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: contra vs lyon (bo5) - vcl latin america north: playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between Contra and LYON in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:00PM ET. This ma…
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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