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Türkiye vs. Italy - More Markets

Trade "Türkiye vs. Italy - More Markets" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

O/U 0.5 95% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 82% Italy O/U 0.5 80% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Türkiye vs. Italy - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.582%
Italy O/U 0.580%
Türkiye O/U 0.579%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Both Teams to Score63%
O/U 2.560%
Italy 2nd Half O/U 0.559%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 0.557%
Italy 1st Half O/U 0.551%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Italy (-4.5)50%
Italy 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.549%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Italy 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Italy O/U 1.547%
Türkiye O/U 1.545%
Türkiye (-5.5)45%
2nd Half O/U 4.542%
1st Half O/U 4.541%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
O/U 3.537%
2nd Half O/U 3.536%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24%
2nd Half O/U 2.523%
Italy 2nd Half O/U 1.522%
Italy O/U 2.521%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 1.520%
Italy (-1.5)19%
O/U 4.519%
Türkiye O/U 2.519%
Türkiye (-1.5)17%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Italy 1st Half O/U 1.515%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Türkiye (-4.5)12%
Italy O/U 5.510%
O/U 5.59%
Italy (-2.5)7%
Italy O/U 3.57%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 2.57%
Italy 2nd Half O/U 2.57%
Türkiye (-2.5)6%
Türkiye O/U 3.56%
1st Half O/U 3.55%
O/U 6.53%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 2.53%
Italy 1st Half O/U 2.53%
Türkiye (-3.5)2%
Italy (-3.5)2%
Italy (-5.5)2%
Türkiye O/U 4.52%
Türkiye O/U 5.52%
Italy O/U 4.52%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 3.52%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Türkiye vs. Italy - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 17% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-28T18:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page compares Türkiye vs. Italy - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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