Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 90% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 10% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
Market context
Kudrivka host Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine Premier Liha, and the exact-score market is being priced against a clear imbalance in pedigree as well as recent scorelines. The sides have already met twice in league play, with Shakhtar winning 4-0 and 3-1, which is the main reason a 0% crowd-implied probability on any specific scoreline is not unusual in a market where exact results are highly fragmented[2][7][19].
For historical framing, the key point is that exact-score markets are usually thin even when one side is strongly favoured, because the same favourite can win through several plausible scorelines. Kudrivka’s recent league sequence has included narrow defeats and a few low-scoring results, while Shakhtar’s recent match log also contains both controlled wins and a 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace in European play, reinforcing that the likely outcome range is broader than one score alone[2][12]. That is why liquidity in these contracts tends to depend less on the football story than on who has actually topped up and can trade quickly, especially where on-ramp fees or withdrawal friction affect how much fresh money reaches the book.
The main catalysts are practical rather than speculative: confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the match starts on schedule and settles cleanly at full time only. For traders using payment routes, deposits via Klarna or SEPA generally matter most on the entry side, while USDC can matter for faster recycling of funds if the venue supports it; those rails can influence how deep the order book gets in the hours before kick-off. As of the live listings, the fixture is being tracked as a scheduled 3 August match, so the final movement in this market will likely come from pre-match funding flows and team-news confirmation rather than from in-play scoring patterns[10][16].
Methodology
This page compares FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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