Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 2% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Team to Advance | 0% |
Market context
Heart of Midlothian will face Sport Lisboa e Benfica in a UEFA Europa League qualifying round on 13 August 2026. The fixture pits the Edinburgh club against Portugal's most decorated side, with the winner advancing in European competition. The match kicks off at 19:45 GMT, with settlement occurring immediately after the final whistle.
The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading volume rather than certainty of outcome. Historical Europa League qualifying rounds between Scottish Premiership sides and Portuguese clubs show mixed results; Hearts' European record against elite Portuguese opposition is sparse, though Benfica's recent form and continental pedigree establish them as favourites in most analytical models. Comparable fixtures from the 2024–25 qualifying cycle saw similar Scottish entries struggle against established European sides, yet upsets remain statistically plausible in two-legged ties where away goals carry weight.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news releases through early August, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions ahead of domestic league commitments. Benfica's pre-season preparation and Hearts' Scottish Premiership form will influence tactical approaches. Deposit flows via Klarna and SEPA rails typically accelerate as match day approaches; withdrawal liquidity for this market depends on book depth, which correlates with broader Europa League trading activity across the platform. Settlement speed relies on official UEFA confirmation, usually available within minutes of full-time.
Methodology
This page compares Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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