Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
PFK CSKA Sofia will face Maccabi Tel Aviv in a UEFA Europa League qualifying match on 13 August 2026. The fixture represents an early-season European competition test, with the winner advancing further in the continental tournament structure. Settlement occurs at 18:00 UTC on match day, aligning with standard post-match confirmation windows for European football fixtures.
Historical precedent suggests that markets on secondary Europa League qualifying ties—particularly those involving Eastern European and Israeli clubs—typically show modest liquidity until 48 hours before kick-off. The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome; comparable qualifying-round markets on this platform have seen probability shifts of 15–25 percentage points once deposit flows accelerate through Klarna and SEPA rails. CSKA Sofia's recent domestic form and Maccabi Tel Aviv's continental experience provide substantive grounds for differentiated pricing once traders gain capital access.
Key catalysts include official team news releases, which UEFA publishes 72 hours pre-match, and any squad rotation announcements from either club's management. Injury confirmations or late withdrawals typically trigger repricing in the final 36 hours. Deposit friction remains material: traders using Klarna instalments or SEPA transfers may experience 24–48 hour settlement delays, potentially missing early-market movement. Book depth will likely correlate with payment-rail availability; periods of high USDC on-ramp activity historically precede volatility spikes in lower-profile Europa League markets.
Methodology
This page compares PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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