Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Derry City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Derry City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 0% |
| Derry City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) | 0% |
| Derry City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Derry City FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC meet tonight at the Vasil Levski National Sports Academy in Sofia for the UEFA Europa League First Qualifying Round, with the match kicking off at 18:00 UTC. The fixture represents a standard early-stage European qualifying clash where home advantage and recent form typically dictate outcomes, yet the crowd-implied probability for this specific market sits at 0% YES, suggesting traders see no viable path for the outcome in question.
Historical data from comparable Europa League qualifiers shows that 0% implied probabilities for niche markets often stem from payment friction rather than event impossibility; traders frequently bypass deep books when deposit fees or withdrawal rails like Klarna and SEPA create on-ramp drag. In past qualifying rounds, similar markets saw liquidity evaporate when USDC withdrawal delays or high conversion costs discouraged retail participation, leaving the book shallow and the probability artificially suppressed despite the underlying event remaining plausible.
Traders should monitor the official UEFA line-up announcement at 17:00 UTC and any sudden changes to payment processor availability on the platform, as these directly impact funding flows into the book. Recent coverage on Sky Sports confirms the match is live and scheduled without delay, but the critical dependency remains whether the platform’s Klarna integration remains stable during the deposit window, as any friction here will continue to suppress market depth and keep the probability near zero regardless of the on-pitch action [2].
Methodology
This page compares PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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