Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Orgryte IS (-1.5) | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Orgryte IS (-2.5) | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Allsvenskan fixture between Örgryte IS and Djurgårdens IF, played at Gamla Ullevi on 20 July, concluded as a 0–0 draw, meaning any market betting on a decisive outcome for this specific match has already settled as false. With the result confirmed, the crowd-implied probability of 0% YES reflects the factual reality that the game did not produce the required scoring event, rendering further trading on this outcome moot [2].
Historically, prediction markets on Swedish football “more markets” often suffer from delayed settlement when matches end in draws, as traders initially overestimate the likelihood of a winner based on pre-match form data suggesting a 57.73% chance for Djurgårdens IF [1]. Comparable cases in the Allsvenskan show that when pre-match analytics heavily favour one side but the match ends goalless, liquidity evaporates rapidly post-result, mirroring the current 0% probability and demonstrating how payment friction—such as Klarna deposit delays or SECA withdrawal bottlenecks—can prevent traders from exiting positions before settlement.
Traders should monitor the official Allsvenskan settlement announcements and the timing of withdrawal rail confirmations, particularly for USDC and Klarna, as these directly impact book depth and the ability to capitalise on similar mispricings in future fixtures. Recent coverage of the match confirms the final score and venue, eliminating ambiguity about the result [2][5]. With the settlement window ending 20 July at 17:00 UTC, the market has already resolved, and no new catalysts will alter the outcome.
Methodology
This page compares Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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